we are (way) past peak driving

Research by Todd Litman of the Victoria Transport Policy Institute (VTPI), in a paper The Mobility-Productivity Paradox, indicates we are past peak driving, in the sense that we have reached a point (or are considerably past the point) at which the costs of driving and motor vehicle infrastructure outweigh the benefits. This won’t be a surprise to anyone paying attention, but it is always worth having citable research.

Early on, economic productivity did increase with better transportation infrastructure and more travel. But it no longer does. There is now a negative relationship of VMT to economic productivity, as well as a lot of other measures.

Key Takeaways (from the YIMBY article):

  • More driving correlates with lower state income: Vehicle miles traveled per capita shows a negative correlation with state GDP per capita.
  • Vehicle ownership peaks and then declines with national wealth. International data show that car ownership rises until countries reach a GDP per capita of $50,000, after which it declines despite continued income growth.
  • Metro areas with transit tend to outperform those that are more car-dependent. Urban regions with higher transit ridership, fewer highway lanes per capita, and population density tend to generate higher per-capita GDP.

the end of freedom of movement?

This is a follow-on to my earlier post xenophobia and retribution.

If you have followed any of the reports of ICE (Immigrations and Customs Enforcement) and other federal agencies taking Latinos and others off the street for immigration enforcement, you probably have noticed the same things I have:

  • ICE, and other federal agents, generally are in plain clothes, not wearing uniforms that identify their agency
  • they are not wearing name tags
  • they are wearing masks
  • they are using unmarked vehicles
  • it seems that there are only males working for ICE, I’ve not noticed any females in the videos
  • ICE and the administration continually claim that they are making if safer by removing criminals, but ICE is not looking for criminals, they are just looking for Latinos and other people of color

Some of the people taken have shown up at detention facilities, where they are housed under inhuman conditions, and generally denied access to lawyers. But the whereabouts of many is unknown. As far as ICE and the Trump administration are concerned, these people have already been found guilty, and are not deserving of due process. The Trump administration has been transporting many of these people out of the US, and then claiming that they have no rights under US law because they are not in the US.

The actions of ICE can fairly be called abductions or kidnappings, and the victims can be said to be disappeared. These are the actions of authoritarian regimes, not of a democracy. It is the method dictators use to remove, silence and kill dissidents. ICE has been likened to the German Gestapo, and that analogy is apt. Trump is implementing the methods of the dictators he so admires.

So why is ICE working in this way? You would think they would be proud of their actions, showing up in uniform, with nametags and without masks, and using official and identified government vehicles to transport people. But they are not.

I believe it is because ICE and the Trump administration are actually sending a message to all of us. That message is ‘we can disappear anyone we want, at any time and place we want, without consequences’. Going after undocumented immigrants (and permanent residents, and naturalized citizens, and born citizens) is not just about those people, but all people. Once they have established that they are immune to the laws of the US, they can do anything to anyone. That is the message.

Many people in this country (though not blacks) have always had freedom of movement, and even a choice about how to go places, despite the government spending nearly all of our transportation funds on those who drive. We assumed that was part of our freedom in a democracy. We are now a step closer, a big step closer, to government control of our movement. There will be checkpoints for ID. There will be tracking of the movements, and associations, of everyone. That is the purpose of the data being compiled by Palantir (see links below). We are on a slide into autocracy and oppression. We will have no freedom of movement.

All of this has been on my mind for weeks, but I recently started reading Between the World and Me by Ta-nehisi Coates. Every searing word emphasizes how blacks have never had freedom of movement in this country, from slavery to today, always under the control/oppression of the police and government. That is the fate that now awaits everyone, whether ‘white’ or not.

xenophobia and retribution

I can’t stay silent. My vision in starting this blog has been a better world, where all people can travel in safety, with choices about how to get there, and what they need on a daily basis is close by so they can travel by walking and bicycling most of the time. Livable places, and joyous lives! I am blessed to live in a place that approaches that, midtown Sacramento.

I have come to realize that proactively addressing equity is critical, because the transportation system we have created left out low income people, people of color, and everyone who doesn’t or can’t drive. We have spent billions for car drivers, and disinvested in communities. We have to make up for that by investing in walking, bicycling, transit, and housing. Continuing to invest in driving, in car dominance, is in no sense equitable.

And I have come to realize how important affordable housing is. We can’t have an effective transit system without a density of affordable housing, and we can’t have affordable housing without convenient, frequent, and affordable transit, and of course safe and convenient walking and bicycling.

The actions of Donald Trump and the coward Republicans in Congress and on the Supreme Court work against everything I believe in, and have promoted. They favor private motor vehicles over all other modes, and fossil fuels over cleaner alternatives. They have reduced support for transit, for affordable housing, for health care, for clean energy. And too many other things to list. They idealize an imagined 1950s, or 1850s, when citizens were rich white men and everyone else was subservient. It was an era of chrome and fins, polluting cars without safety features, and a crash and fatality rate even higher than today.

The Trump administration has made deportation of undocumented immigrants a core principle. If you think this is about immigration status, look more closely. They are targeting specifically people who came from, or look like they came from, south of the border, people who don’t look like their image of the white world. They have deported people with legal status. They have detained and threatened to deport born citizens. And Trump just said he wants to deport naturalized citizens. This is xenophobia, pure and simple. If you think this stops with Latinx, you aren’t paying attention. Trump has expressed at various times hatred for Jews (not Netanyahu, though), communists (not Putin, though), Democrats, gays, trans, Canadians, Europeans, Africans (except Afrikaners, of course), Muslims, Palestinians, and even rural whites. And even Republicans who don’t cow-tow. Basically, everyone who doesn’t match his ideal white person (Make America White Again). Of course once he has dealt with the ‘others’, it is likely he will go after the whites as well. His hatred knows no bounds.

And what if you don’t agree with this drift (and acceleration) towards authoritarianism? He promises retribution against everyone who disagrees with him. Though the courts have slowed him, almost every executive order and every administrative decision is an effort to extract retribution. If you think you won’t eventually be on his enemies list, you aren’t paying attention. The phrase “First they came for…” is completely appropriate to this time.

Trump is a megalomaniac and narcissist. He hates everyone and everything that is not himself. He hates democracy, he hates this country, he hates most of the people of this country. Of course what he most hates, at a very deep level, is himself. He will stop at nothing, and he will end by destroying everything good about this country. Unless we stop him.

If this post causes you to stop reading or following this blog, I wish you well. I am not the enemy, you are not the enemy.

SABA’s Gear’d Up newsletter

I recommend subscribing to SABA’s (Sacramento Area Bicycle Advocates) Gear’d Up newsletter. it is one of the best sources of information about what is going on with government and advocacy efforts to improve safety for bicyclists, as well as transportation in general.

The June Gear’d Up and older newsletters are available.

Of course SABA also needs your membership, donation, or volunteer. Check the SABA website.

this week 2025-05-12

Monday 12

Tuesday 13

Wednesday 14

Thursday 15

Friday 16

Saturday 17

Sunday 18

this week 2025-03-17

SacMoves Coalition hosts an event calendar at https://sacmoves.org/events/, which is maintained by STAR (Sacramento Transit Advocates and Riders) and Getting Around Sacramento. ‘This week’ postings are irregular.

Monday 17

  • House Sacramento (SacYIMBY), 6:00 PM, New Helvetia Brewing (the meeting was moved to Urban Roots; future meeting dates and locations yet to be determined)

Tuesday 18

  • SacCity Streets for People Citywide Virtual Workshop #1; 12:00 PM; register
  • Sacramento City Council; 5:00 PM; agenda

Wednesday 19

  • SACOG Transit Coordinating Committee, 9:00 AM, via Zoom; agenda; post
  • SacCity Streets for People Citywide Virtual Workshop #2; 5:00 PM; register

Thursday 20

  • SACOG Board, 9:45 AM; Rocklin (not Sac) or online; agenda
  • SacRT MAC (Mobility Advisory Council), 2:30 PM; agenda; post
  • SacATC (Sacramento Active Transportation Commission), 5:30 PM; agenda; post

Friday 21

Saturday 22

Sunday 23

I missed two important meetings the previous week, because they were not on their usual schedule: CARTA on Monday, 10th, and SacTA, Thursday, 13th.

State Rail Plan webinar March 4

Seamless Bay Area and Californians for Electric Rail are hosting a webinar, New State Rail Plan Explained: A vision for an integrated, cohesive California rail network on March 4, 2025, at 12:00 PM. Registration is required, but free.

The Caltrans/California State Transportation Agency 2024 California State Rail Plan (2024-12) is available for review. An earlier draft emphasized hydrogen trains to the exclusion of overhead catenary wire electric trains, but the current version includes catenary, battery electric and hydrogen fuel cell electric.

From the registration page: “The newly released State Rail Plan lays out strategies that can significantly impact how Californians and visitors get around the state – and can make California a place that’s easier for everyone to get around in an affordable, low-carbon, safe, and accessible way. The plan establishes a long-term vision for an integrated, cohesive statewide rail system that offers passenger and freight service and helps achieve California’s mobility, economic, and climate goals. Tune into this webinar to learn about the plan from California State Transportation Agency staff. Researchers and advocates will give their reaction to the updated plan including cost analysis, the political changes needed to implement reforms, and upcoming funding and reform opportunities.”

Whether or not you can attend this webinar, I encourage you to read the 2024 California State Rail Plan, focusing on the routes or concepts that are most important to you.

The Capitol Corridor, Sacramento/Roseville to San Jose, is called out for electrification, but the source power is not defined. Capitol Corridor is not specifically a single project, but part of several projects including Transbay Crossing, Leveraging Mega-Investments, Sea Level Rise, and Sacramento and San Joaquin Valleys. In stages, Capitol Corridor service is planned to reach once per hour in the mid-term, and once per 30 minutes in the long term. Current service is one hour at peak times of day, but two to three hours at other times.

Many transportation advocates strongly support catenary electrification of the Capitol Corridor route between Sacramento and San Jose. I have also advanced the idea of state purchase of the rails in heavy passenger rail corridors, which would include Capitol Corridor, either through willing seller or condemnation if necessary. Freight rolling stock would still be owned and operated by the railroads, but passenger trains would now have priority over freight trains, and the freight railroads could not resist catenary electrification.

I hope to provide more detailed analysis of the state plan in the near future.

timeline for Tier 4 diesel and zero emissions
2050 electrified corridors
long-term service plan

this week 2025-02-24

SacMoves Coalition hosts an event calendar at https://sacmoves.org/events/, which is maintained by STAR (Sacramento Transit Advocates and Riders) and Getting Around Sacramento. ‘This week’ postings are irregular.

Monday 24

  • SacRT Board meeting canceled

Tuesday 25

Wednesday 26

Thursday 27

  • SACOG Scoping Meeting for Blueprint EIR, 5:30 PM, online via Zoom (registration)

Friday 28

Saturday 01

Sunday 02